American: How do you use "Dongfeng" to hit an aircraft carrier? China's response: increase the range to 4000

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American: How do you use "Dongfeng" to hit an aircraft carrier? China's response: increase the range to 4000_ballistic missile

Translated by google

► Wen Observer Wang Shichun

This week, the most important military news is undoubtedly the PLA launching four ballistic missiles into the South China Sea.

This is not only a tough response to the recent situation in the South China Sea, but also a substantive test of several new missile brigades that have recently formed into the army.

With the number of Dongfeng-26 troops gradually surpassing the number of Dongfeng-21D troops, the Americans must consider the "tyranny of distance" brought about by a conventional "universal" bomb with a range of 4000 kilometers that can hit aircraft carriers.

This is the "truth" Source: CCTV

A future that no one had imagined before

On August 26, a few days after the release of the "Jiong Aviation Police", foreign media reported that my country had conducted a missile test and launched ballistic missiles into the South China Sea from two directions. Regarding this matter, the spokesperson of the Ministry of National Defense did not respond directly, only announcing that our recent military exercises in various places "are not directed at any country or region."

There was a lot of movement before this test, and the powerful enemy naturally had to send a plane to take a look. A "frequent visitor" over the peninsula a few years ago, the US Air Force's RC-135S ballistic missile reconnaissance aircraft numbered 62-4128 also took off from Kadena Base in Okinawa as scheduled, and proceeded to conduct reconnaissance operations near the relevant waters of our "Qionghai Police" in the South China Sea.

After RC-135 completed reconnaissance, this missile test was also confirmed by the US military. An official from the US Department of Defense told Reuters and Bloomberg on the 27th that China launched 4 medium-range ballistic missiles on the 26th and hit a certain area in the South China Sea between Hainan Island and the Paracel Islands. The model is "still being judged," and there is no mention of whether the missile hits the intended target.

There are a lot of ballistic missiles in Northeast Asia. Everyone has some new ones. 62-4128 has been very busy in recent years.

Although the spokesperson of the Ministry of National Defense clearly pointed out that the recent military exercises are "not aimed at any country," the significance of this missile test is clear and clear to the outside world, especially the powerful enemy.

After the U.S. Navy and Air Force resumed their combat effectiveness in June, the Trump-Pompeo regime used tough methods to cover up its mistakes in dealing with the new crown in the November general election and blatantly dispatched "Roosevelt", "Reagan", and "Reagan". The three aircraft carriers of the "Nimitz" have been "making waves" in the South China Sea since June in an attempt to disturb the situation in the South China Sea. In the face of the continuous provocations of the US military and the US authorities, I dispatched two newly formed bases and two missile brigades to fire live ammunition in the direction of the South China Sea to strike targets. Without targeting any country, I completed the "strategic bright sword", which was effective. Maintained peace and stability in the South China Sea.

There are different opinions from the outside world about "what missile was hit" in this test. Some U.S. military researchers calculated based on the launch position and suspected that the People's Liberation Army did not use the Dongfeng-21D in the test on the 26th, and the "Oriental Mechanic" website even more. It is outrageous to think that the People's Liberation Army has used the Dongfeng-16 anti-ship model with a range of 1,000 kilometers-that is, a certain unit in Jinhua, Zhejiang is equipped with a new type of missile Dongfeng-16D, which is a bit dumbfounding.

The US military’s suspicions have a certain truth: Although the Dongfeng-21D is a "killer" that was only made public in 2015, there are not many troops equipped with the Dongfeng-21D, at least in the base of a Dongfeng-16 brigade in the Eastern Theater. . Of course, this speculation of the U.S. military is to some extent "looking down on people." Our conventional ballistic missile units are highly maneuverable. From a base in Shandong Province or even a base in Guangxi Province, they can move thousands of miles to provide better air defense conditions. A live ammunition test fired toward the South China Sea from a base in the Eastern Theater of the United States to test the combat effectiveness of the newly formed troops was normal and well in line with actual combat requirements. Our army calls for one round of ammunition for thousands of people and hundreds of vehicles. However, it seems that the phrase "The People's Liberation Army missiles can move" is a bit "politically incorrect" under the current East Asian situation.

Everyone is generally based on the pictures of the Chinese people

However, American experts generally believe that the People's Liberation Army test-fired Dongfeng-26. Semi-official foreign military research institutions such as "Oriental Pendulum" and "Popular Mechanic", as well as some U.S. military intelligence research personnel generally believe that the PLA dispatched an anti-ship model of Dongfeng-26 from a base in Qinghai to an area 3,200 kilometers away. A test fire was conducted in the South China Sea. The unreliable South China Morning Post simply decided that the test fired was the "anti-ship DF-26B." From the point of landing, we judged by the Asian comrades in the audience that this time it was a missile launched by two East 21D brigade in Guangxi and Zhejiang. This is a reasonable guess, but the shell wreckage of Dongfeng-26 launched in Qinghai fell into the capital of Guangxi, Guizhou. Is reasonable.

I have only seen Dong-26B, and treat everything as 26B

However, because the Dongfeng-26 adopts a new double-cone warhead technology with wave-riding performance, the overall flight speed is very fast, and the terminal penetration speed is still much faster than the Dongfeng-21D after decelerating. Therefore, my country in recent years It has been solving the problem of radome ablation in the terminal guidance of the Dongfeng-26C aircraft carrier. If our army does use the anti-ship type Dongfeng-26 in this test, then this at least means that the Dongfeng-26 has solved the terminal combat The guidance of aircraft carriers.

Double cone + pneumatic rudder is not the most advanced technology, but it is still "enough"

There are three variants of the Dongfeng-26 missile, which is the first precision-guided weapon with medium- and long-range strike capability that has appeared in human history. As a medium- and long-range ballistic missile with a range far beyond the Dongfeng-21 series, the existence of Dongfeng-26's anti-ship type will greatly increase the range of China's shore-based anti-aircraft carrier and regional anti-intervention operations, even reaching an exaggerated first step: If the Dongfeng-26 missile is deployed in the superior firepower area of ​​the eastern theater, it will be sufficient to deter the aircraft carrier battle group east of Guam from the San Diego base to reinforce the aircraft carrier battle group in Northeast Asia. At the same time, the Dongfeng-26 is deployed in the central area of ​​our army's hinterland, such as Guangxi , Gansu, Qinghai and other places are still capable of carrying out regular strikes on the entire territory including the base where the "Agni" is located in southern India, Guam, and Japan. If any weapon can best interpret the "tyranny of distance", then the contemporary Dongfeng-26 is undoubtedly the best choice.

And this "sounds very fantasy" goal was considered by the U.S. military last year to be the reason that the "wolf is coming" fabricated by the Deputy Secretary of Defense Griffin for "grabbing money". The number is expanding at an exaggerated rate, and the US military has begun to pay attention to our army’s Dongfeng-26 unit.

After the Rocket Force has refitted three Dongfeng-21D missile brigades, in recent years it has stopped the refitting work of Dongfeng-21D and switched to the expansion of the Dongfeng-26 unit. In recent years, it has been exposed in major CCTV news. The number of Dongfeng-26 units has reached 5. Based on the 18 missile launch vehicles per brigade, the number of Dongfeng-26 units in our army has reached 90 units. In 2018, the U.S. Air Force only assessed that the PLA had only a certain unit in Gansu that had replaced 12 Dongfeng-26 units, although this assessment was beaten by the PLA with public news footage that year. Now in 2020, the US military has to face such a situation where "Dongfeng-26 is everywhere".

Because of the auspicious designation, a certain brigade in Gansu, which is particularly well-known abroad, made its debut and clearly told the strong enemy "We have restructured."

From the perspective of our army's equipment development rules, the replacement of Dongfeng-26 and the stop of the replacement of Dongfeng-21D are routine operations. The Dongfeng-21D project is one of the "killer" projects at the beginning of the century. The military has extremely urgent requirements for the timing of the formation of combat effectiveness of the Dongfeng-21D. Therefore, practitioners in the aerospace industry in my country have used the latest missile guidance technology on a "useable" projectile. Weapons in the combat readiness period similar to the Dongfeng-21D, including the J-8F and 96A tanks, have this feature.

Although the Dongfeng-21D is still the most advanced anti-ship ballistic missile in the world today, it plays a decisive role in my country’s first island chain strike system, but objectively speaking, the Dongfeng-21D project is still too early. Decisive indicators such as range have fallen behind our army's latest technology.

The main factors that determine the range of a missile are shell material and propellant. my country’s Dongfeng-21 series missiles were designed earlier, and a large number of technical indicators were designed in the 1970s and 1980s. This is also reflected in the changes in shell materials. Dongfeng-21 first used low-strength steel, and then replaced it on Dongfeng-21A. Into a relatively backward FRP. It was not until the new century that my country began to gradually use carbon fiber winding composite material technology to produce the first-level shell in the Dongfeng-21C missile. In terms of propellants, the Dongfeng-21 series has undergone a replacement from CTPB to HTPB. The replacement of these materials and propellants has increased the load of the Dongfeng-21 series, but has not significantly increased the range.

As a new project of Dongfeng-26 after the century, both the shell composite and the new N15B solid propellant are different from the old Dongfeng-21 series. As a medium- and long-range missile of strategic significance, it can be said that Dong-26 is the "target bomb" of the PLA Rocket Force. At the same time, in terms of cost, the Dongfeng-26 is more expensive than the Dongfeng-21, but for the Rocket Army, this cost increase is acceptable compared to the huge capability bonus-not to mention the cost of maintaining a brigade, The money for special vehicles is much more expensive than the purchase price of missiles.

We are the source of the hard air: military reports

From the perspective of military science only, Dongfeng-26 is a "universal bomb". It realizes a science fiction concept that has never been seen before in human history: the Supreme Commander orders, within 20 minutes, the Eurasian continent Rare military targets are turned into powder. This kind of secondary school vision has now become a reality in military technology due to technological advances. For the US military, just considering the "vacuum spherical chicken" of Dongfeng-26's theoretical capabilities is already a headache. In 2020, when the intensity of competition between China and the United States is far from the Cold War level, the deployment of the US military in the Western Pacific and the low-intensity confrontation brought about by the geopolitical environment in East Asia will enable Dongfeng-26 to further exert its capabilities. .

The U.S. military often says that my country’s strategic strategy is "area denial and anti-intervention", that is, to establish a land, sea and air strike system to "preemptive strikes" against aircraft carrier battle groups coming from the U.S. expedition, thus actually causing the U.S. military to leave the Asia-Pacific battlefield. The vision is now becoming a reality. In Northeast Asia, competition is far less intense than in the Barents Sea during the Soviet-American Cold War. It is difficult for the US military to effectively drive away from the PLA’s naval, air and space reconnaissance nodes, especially ships and other nodes.

At present, the U.S. military has few advanced aircraft carriers deployed, relying on additional troops from the mainland and even Hawaii for support. Then such a scenario is easy to appear: In 202X, the USS Lincoln aircraft carrier stationed at the Yokosuka base in order to support the base in Yokosuka. The "Nimitz" aircraft carrier interfered in the People's Liberation Army's war of reunification of the motherland and headed towards Guam via Hawaii.

On the way, the PLA Navy's ocean-going battle group, with the support of an aircraft carrier and long-range drones, occupied the position east of Guam, and with the help of space-based satellites, the US aircraft carrier was locked and tracked. In this case, a small number of ocean-going battle groups located east of Guam can use the Dongfeng missile brigade behind them to military deter US forces. The cost of the US military's determination to intervene in the Taiwan Strait warfare will increase as a result-the US military must decide whether to give priority to annihilating the PLA's tracking fleet, and the decision-making cost of the determined decision is also increased because of the subsequent Dongfeng missile.

The US Navy’s solution is to build an interceptor with a combat radius of 3,000 kilometers...

In the face of our military's reconnaissance and strike system, with confidence in its nuclear power, the US military’s options include dispatching strike capabilities, “first strike” at the People’s Liberation Army’s mobile missile launch vehicle that advances deep in the hinterland, or forward sea, land, air and space reconnaissance nodes. But with the advent of Dongfeng-26, at least the option of "strike the launch vehicle" has become infeasible. Attacking the 1500-kilometer Dongfeng-21D is still an "optional" for the US military, but it is completely impossible for the US military to strike the 4000-kilometer Dongfeng-26.

As far as the current situation is concerned, it is not necessary for Dongfeng-26 to be deployed along the coast and take advantage of 4000 kilometers. Instead, it is deployed in hinterland provinces to strike targets 2000 kilometers away from our country. Under this circumstance, the US military needs to dispatch weapons and systems used in the nuclear war to effectively destroy some East-26 launch vehicles. This kind of military option to risk a major nuclear war, not to mention how much determination is required in the military, is currently impossible in the US politics alone.

Weapons that can effectively hunt Dongfeng-26 vehicles are currently mainly based on the Trident series. Of course, you have to consider our country’s reaction to seeing the trident flying over with a low trajectory.

Another advantage of Dongfeng-26 is its nuclear and permanent attributes. The first strike against the Dongfeng-26 launch vehicle also increased the risk of a full-scale nuclear war. my country has a vast territory, borders three nuclear countries with intercontinental nuclear strike capabilities, and at the same time faces the potential nuclear deterrence of Britain and France. For this reason, in addition to intercontinental missiles and medium- and short-range combat tactical missiles, my country also needs a medium- and long-range ballistic missile with "nuclear counterattack" and even "nuclear victory" for potential nuclear deterrence. The Dongfeng-26 missile just made up for this gap.

Dongfeng-26 is an advanced ballistic missile that uses a new type of projectile and propellant, and its 4000 kilometers range is only available when carrying a heavy conventional strike warhead. If Dongfeng-26 is replaced with a nuclear warhead that is much lighter than conventional warheads for strategic strikes, its range will be significantly improved, reaching the level of "quasi-continental", and its accuracy level is sufficient to hit reinforced silos/underground fortifications, etc. A series of important goals.

With nuclear warheads, Dongfeng-26 can carry out nuclear strikes against US forces in the Indo-Pacific Command, the Central Command, and even the European Command and Alaska Anti-missile Forces in China's "absolute hinterland." In addition to the US military, Dongfeng-26 can also directly threaten most of the "Red Flag" missile divisions of European countries, Australia, India, and even Moscow and Russia against Dongfeng 26.

This “quasi-intercontinental” attribute on the one hand helped China gain the ability to conduct first-hand strikes against neighboring countries and even “nuclear victory”, effectively improving our nuclear strike capabilities; on the other hand, it also shared the pressure of my country’s intercontinental missiles. It helps to improve my country’s nuclear deployment and nuclear deterrence capabilities, and lowers China’s nuclear threshold in terms of capabilities. Although this change in capability is not enough to change my country's consistent attitude of not being the first to use nuclear weapons, the political significance it brings will gradually manifest in the future.

However, at present, due to the rapid expansion of East-26 by our army, our country has become one of the few countries in the world with more "nuclear vehicles than warheads". Whether this sentence is good news or not depends on readers' nuclear expansion. Judging from the personal standpoint of nuclear reality.

For the US military, Dongfeng 26's "both nuclear and permanent" is a very "tangled" thing. Because even with future technological advances, the US military's use of advanced methods such as the B-21 to hunt down launch vehicles will actually cause the risk of potential nuclear war. The US military has the ability to fight a major nuclear war with the People's Liberation Army, but the war is a continuation of politics, and the increased decision-making costs will undoubtedly change the determination of American political and military figures to issue orders.

For the US military, they don’t like Griffin, who uses Chinese hypersonic weapons as an excuse to engage in office politics, but ironically, when this radical deputy secretary of defense just lost his position in the office struggle against the leadership of the new generation of weapons. , "Wolf" really came.

Optimistically, in the near future ten months later, as the situation further deteriorates and the needs of special nodes, we should be able to see the latest model of Dong-26 unveiled at major festivals. The development of Dongfeng-26 also fundamentally illustrates a truth: when the United States accuses you of regional denial, you'd better make the denial area larger.

Source|Observer Network

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